By now, I’m sure you’re tired of reading frustrated bloggers and their ilk complaining about how the Cubs are lousy and how everybody needs to be fired. I’m not saying that’s not all true, I’m saying you’re probably tired of it. Becasue I know I am. So, it seems about time somebody does something about it. How big of a mess are the 2006 Cubs? Surely they can’t be as bad as the Tom Trebelhorn ’94 Cubs which didn’t win 50 games (sure, I know, the season ended in August, but believe me, they weren’t a safe bet to win again that year anyway). They can’t be as bad as the Preston Gomez-Joey Amalfitano 1980 Cubs, either.
As bad as the Cubs have been over the years. And really, they are undisputably the worst professional sports franchise of the past 135 years, they have only lost 100 games twice. Well, this could be three, I guess.
Imagine for a moment that like Mark Cuban before you, you blundered into (and had the good sense to capitalize on) some emerging technology and suddenly, you’re a billionaire. Instead of buying Roy Tarpley’s old basketball team, you buy Todd Hundley’s old baseball team.
It’s yours. No board of directors to answer to, just you, your checkbook and the Chicago Cubs. Your first instinct might be to sit back, get a feel for the organization and how it works, then evaluate your front office staff, the manager, the coaches and the players. By the time you finished this, your Cubs probably just went 54-108 and you’ll end up firing everybody.
So fight that urge. Why wait? All you need to know is that the team you just spent somewhere between $600 and $800 million to buy hasn’t won a World Series in 98 years (you knew that, everybody knows that), they haven’t won a pennant in 61 years (everybody knows that, too). But they also haven’t won as many as 90 games in a 162 game season in 17 years, they haven’t had back-to-back 90 win seasons since 1929-1930. They haven’t had back-to-back 100 win seasons since 1909-1910.
The feel for the organization? Feels like a grab bag full of cat shit.
How does it work? It doesn’t.
Who do you fire? Anybody cashing a paycheck.
But since you bought the team in mid-May, you might as well see what you can salvage this year, right? After all, the trade deadline’s still 10 weeks away.
Back in 2003, as Cubs’ fans know first-hand, the Florida Marlins were circling the drain in mid-May and fired their manager, and replaced him with crazy old Jack McKeon. They won a pennant that year in Wrigley Field, then won a World Series in Yankee Stadium. Let’s say that kind of worked out for them.
So the first thing you get to do is call your club president, Andy MacPhail into your office and give him a task. His job is to tell Jim Hendry to fire Dusty Baker and his entire coaching staff. Then you explain to him that his next task is to fire Hendry. Finally, the last thing you want him to do is to write his own letter of resignation.
See, how hard was that?
You’re going to hire a new president of baseball operations, eventually. But for now, it’s your money and damnit, you’re going to do that yourself. How hard can it be. Judging by MacPhail, all you do is drive a company car, wear sweatervests and hold your pinky out at an odd angle when you drink.
The GM can wait, too. You’re going to be too busy fixing things for a while.
So who do you hire to try to salvage this mess?
How about Dorrel Norman Elvert Herzog? Sure, he hasn’t managed a team since 1990, but he’s younger than McKeon (who isn’t?), managed the Cardinals to three pennants and a World Series in 12 seasons and his hiring would piss off every Cardinals fan in the world. How can any Cubs fan not get behind pissing off every Cardinals fan in the world?
OK, so we convince Whitey to sign on for a couple years. He can pick his staff, but he can’t pick Red Schoendinst (is Red even alive?) and we don’t want Darrell Porter around the young players or the free Budweiser in the clubhouse.
Now it’s time to take a look at the roster. Since you’re rich, you really don’t care about the pointless “we’re paying this guy too much to let him go.” You’ve always wondered why you’d commit the double-sin of overpaying a guy, and letting his piss-poor play cripple your team at the same time.
So you give Neifi Perez his outright release, and designate Freddie Bynum for assignment. If somebody claims Freddie, who cares? If not, he can hang out in Des Moines.
Next on the list of guys who need to leave is Glendon Rusch. Signing Glendon to a two-year contract after the 2004 season seemed like a good idea. That good idea doesn’t seem so good any more. He can stick around to be the lefty batting practice pitcher if he wants. Otherwise, good riddance.
Since you just hired Whitey, you probably want him to have a chance to figure out which players he thinks he can use and which ones he can’t. But one thing is indisputable. There is no long term home for Jock Jones on any team you own. Even if Whitey thinks he can somehow squeeze four good months out of Jock, Jock is on his way to the Bronx for whatever bum prospect Brian Cashman will take for him. This isn’t about getting maximum value for Jones, this is about getting him off your team and out of your outfield as quickly as possible.
You call down to Des Moines and fill your three open roster spots with some hack kid named Kerry Wood, your new right fielder, Felix Pie and since you’re going to be shuffling your roster around quite a bit you bring up Adam Greenberg (even though he’s hitting a whopping .118 at Iowa) so he can try to get through one plate appearance in what promises to be a very brief big league career without taking a pitch off his melon.
Whitey can make out the lineup card any way he damn pleases, but chances are, since he’s not a complete dumbass, it’ll look like this.
cf Juan Pierre
ss Ronny Cedeno
2b Todd Walker
3b E-ramis Ramirez
lf Matt Murton
c Michael Barrett
1b John Mabry
rf Felix Pie
p Carlos Zambrano
Now it’s time to do something about first base. Derrek Lee has two and a half weeks in a cast before he can start trying to get his broken wrist into game shape. As optimistic as you can be about his return would have him back in a month at the very earliest. It’s more likely sometime around the fourth of July.
So you can’t keep trotting out John Freakin’ Mabry to play first base. Thankfully you can’t put Todd Walker at first with Neifi at second anymore, because Neifi’s off to play in the Mexican league with Randall Simon.
Hendry was paralyzed in trying to pick up a stopgap first baseman because for some odd notion he attached a number of provisos any acquisition. He wanted a right-handed hitter who could play more than one position so that when Lee came back the player would still have a role on the team. That’s fine. It makes sense. But it can’t preclude you from making any move, thereby crippling your team. If you had to settle for trading a middling prospect to the Red Sox for Hee Seop Choi, then you look at your lineup and ponder “would we be better with Walker at second and Choi at first, or with Walker at first and Neifi at second.” Hendry kept saying that he wasn’t going to find a first base replacement who could out hit Walker. But that wasn’t the point. The point was that Walker wasn’t only in the lineup because Lee was out. Walker was in the lineup when Lee was around, so in effect all he had to do was find a first base replacement who could outhit Neifi or Jerry Hairston.
That’s not that tough to do.
As I wrote back in the days immediately after Lee’s injury, the guy I’d go after to replace Lee at first is Eric Hinske. He’s not a great player (how could he be, he played in the Cubs minor league system), but he’s useful. He’s got some power, he’s a switch hitter, he can play first, is adequate at third and though he runs like Rob Deer he can play some outfield. He’s wallowing on the bench in Toronto. He got two at bats last week, and only 46 for the season. You can’t tell me they have great plans for him anymore.
He’s also insurance for when E-ramis tears something in one or both of his legs. Yeah, like that’s not going to happen.
Now let’s say that even with Whitey actually knowing when to hit and run and steal and squeeze and take out a pitcher without double-switching, that the Cubs (gasp!) don’t climb back into the thick of it in early July.
Now’s the time you prove your mettle. Who are you going to trade?
Are you going to sit down and make a list of all of your “untouchable” players? Remember, over the winter, Rich Hill was on Hendry’s “untouchable” list. Maybe he was on the “unloadable” list and Hendry smeared jelly doughnut all over it, or something?
Here’s my “untouchable” list.
1. Derrek Lee
And the only reason he’s on it is because he has a full no-trade clause foolishly given to him by Hendry and Mac Phail. It’s not that I’d want to trade him, it’s just that I’d like to know I could.
You ought to be ready to trade anybody. You probably don’t want to trade Carlos Zambrano, but everybody has a price. If another team is willing to pay it…sold.
You own the Cubs and you are the first one to do it with a clue as to how you don’t need to hang on to players for their “name” value to sell tickets. You need to win. You want to win. You’ll trade anybody if your price is met, and you’ll hang onto anybody if it’s not. How difficult is that concept? Not very.
So at the trade deadline, who would be your most sought after players?
Juan Pierre — Assuming he gets his on base average up to at least .300 (.350’s more like it, but he’s shown little sign of that), somebody will come after him. Kenny Williams has openly pined for him, and though having both him and Scott Podsednik in the same outfield seems daft, the Sox thought about it hard over the winter. Just think of all the lame Ebony and Ivory references Hawk could make? Even if not the Sox, some contender is going to see Juan as a low-risk, high-potential pickup for the last couple months of the season.
Michael Barrett — Barrett is a player who is more highly valued by the teams he doesn’t play for than the one he does. He comes across as a smart, hard working, athletic catcher with some pop and a decent eye at the plate. In reality he can’t catch worth a damn and is streakier than a used set of Pull Ups. There are a lot of bad catchers, even on good teams, sombody’s going to want to upgrade. You should not think twice about shipping him out.
Kerry Wood — He’s got a no-trade clause and a team option for next year, so you need to let him know that you’re not going to be executing that option. You might, however, be tempted to execute him. If he shows he’s healthy (yeah, sure, whatever) he’d have a lot of value to a team like the Yankees or Red Sox, and you might actually benefit from the ill-timed move to the bullpen last year if you can tempt a contender by dropping hints about how great it would be to have him available for the rotation or the bullpen in a first round three of five series.
E-ramis Ramirez — He, incredibly, is in a walk year, though the option is his and he’s almost guaranteed to take it. He’s still young, has stopped his regression in the field and you’re going to have to live with him not hitting until mid-May, it appears. So why trade him? Sometimes you have to trade a good player to get a good player. I’m not saying you give E-ramis away, but he’s 26 and coming off an all-star season, which was actually less productive than the one before it. He’s got value. If you think the value coming back is better than he is, trade him.
Todd Walker — Proving he can play a competent first base only added to his value. If you’re ever going to trade him, now’s the time. He’s not getting any younger and he’s getting to the point in his career where his offense is dropping off, making him easier to replace.
Mark Prior — First he’d have to actually pitch. In fact, unless he pulls a miraculous turnaround and tears through June and July, there’s no sense shopping him until the offseason.
Bob Howry and Scott Eyre — Their only value is if you think you can contend next season. You should be able to do that, but you ought to listen to offers anyway.
Scott Williamson — His injury history suggests that if he makes it to July healthy, you should trade him, regardless. Get what you can, let some other team sign him for next year and pay him to sit in the trainer’s room.
Ryan Dempster — You signed him to a below market deal, which makes it tempting to keep him off the market. Fight that temptation. One of the pennant contenders will be leaking badly in the ninth inning. See if they’ll give you an uber prospect and some others for a “proven” closer. If they do, go for it. If not, bring Ryan back to close next year. Most teams aren’t the Yankees or Padres, they have to find a new closer every couple of years, it can be done. Look at the White Sox. They found theirs at an AA meeting for chrissakes, and by the end of this year they’ll probably have a different one anyway.
You could say you’re going to build around the young core of Matt Murton, Ronny Cedeno, Felix Pie, Carlos Zambrano and Prior, and owners say that kind of crap all the time. It’s crap, of course. Of those players, Carlos and Mark have shown flashes of being great, the kind of guys you actually build around. Murton looks like a guy who’s going to be good for a long time and Cedeno looks like a real-live, bona fide, big league shortstop, but they’re not franchise players. We have no idea about Felix yet. Given that he’s a Cub prospect, he’ll wash out, but we don’t know either way.
How many teams built a consistent winner around home grown pitching prospects? The Yankees certainly didn’t, nor the Red Sox. The Braves? Go through their really good teams, Smoltz came up a Tiger, Maddux a Cub…so that leaves Glavine and…Steve Avery?
So what am I saying, that the Cubs took the wrong approach in trying to build a winner around Wood, Prior and Zambrano? Of course not. After the 2003 season they were set. They had three dominant young pitchers of which only one made serious cash. That’s a tremendous advantage. So how did they capitalize on it? They went cheap in their bullpen, they left huge holes (center field, shortstop) in the field and the lineup and relied on a pair of 40 year old sluggers in the outfield. Had Wood and Prior stayed healthy, that plan was flimsy enough to collapse under its own weight, once they both got hurt it was inevitable.
Basically, what I’m saying is that you don’t have to tear the Cubs down to the bare bones like the Marlins have done to rebuild. However, if you were offered either the current Cubs roster or the current Marlins one to build a team, you’d probably take the Marlins, as sad as that is for Cubs’ fans.
What you have to be willing to do, however, is to trade anybody. Explore every option, don’t just say “oh, we’re set at third base now” and never take offers for E-ramis. Theo Epstein threatens to trade Manny Ramirez every year. All Manny does is put up Hall of Fame numbers every year.
You want to change the culture around the Cubs, like Dusty claimed he was going to do? You change the culture by demanding your players work hard and play smart, and you show them that every player is accountable for whatever he does. You show them that the best players will play, regardless of age, salary or status. You show them that anybody can be traded and that good play will be rewarded.
Basically you change the culture by doing everything the opposite of the way the Cubs have done things for a century.
When you go into free agency in the offseason you do it with the idea that there’s no such thing as a hometown discount. You don’t try to factor in intrinsic values into contracts. You don’t go after Carlos Beltran and figure that the Mets can offer him $18 million a year, and that equates to $15 million in Chicago where the fans are nicer, the media is more docile and there’s fungus growing on the friggin fence.
I don’t know why this is news to Chicago area ownership in every sport, but players go where the money is. Players consider their contracts to be a show of what they’re worth in comparison to their peers. In their minds if they have to choose between Pissburgh and the Yankees, they’re going where the money is. The Yankees know this, and have always known this. That’s why they always offer more money. They have the mystique to try to pull the crap the Cubs are always trying to pull, but they don’t. Because they want to win at all costs. They don’t screw around trying to sign guys.
If you had owned the Cubs three offseasons ago, A-Rod would be the shortstop. Why? Because there should have been three teams clamoring to take him off the Rangers’ hands. The Red Sox were, the Yankees were, but you weren’t. You don’t think if he’d have been forced to choose between brokering a trade to the Yankees, where he’d have to change positions and defer to an inferior player, Derek Jeter, or coming to the Cubs and proving over and over again that he’s the best shortstop ever, that he’d have done it? Of course he would have. But the Tribune’s and Andy Mac Phail’s Cubs never even entertained it. Why should they have? They had Alex Gonzalez at shortstop. It’s not like he’d just booted the pennant or anything.
The Cubs will be fixed when they decide to act like what they are. They’re a major market, deep pocketed team with a history of losing so long and so cumbersome that the only way to get over it is to stop acting like they’re doing players a favor to ask them to play for them. You want to pull that crap? Win something first.
If I’m in the clubhouse, it’s only as a ghost. I’m deader than shit.
DP 15!
Another good reason for Darrell to not be around.
Clap..Clap..Clap..Clap..Clap..Clap..Clap..Clap..
Especially this:
So the first thing you get to do is call your club president, Andy MacPhail into your office and give him a task. His job is to tell Jim Hendry to fire Dusty Baker and his entire coaching staff. Then you explain to him that his next task is to fire Hendry. Finally, the last thing you want him to do is to write his own letter of resignation.
But don’t forget to have Andy eliminate the minor league staffs as well. Plenty of our own home-grown players are not learning the fundamentals, and that blame should be spread between Iowa, Peoria, Lansing and 1060 W. Addison.
Hey Whitey, can I be your pitching coach?
We’re very proud that we developed a 2002 ROY, regardless of where he won the award.
If Whitey gets the job by this weekend, he’d probably have Vince Coleman as his first-base coach… Oh shit.. I can’t have that.
Is there any way that your brilliant scripts can be sent to the knuckleheads atop Cubdom?
Our streaky, worthless, trade-him-now catcher Michael Barrett’s streakiness in action:
2 Games in a row without a hit: 0
3 Games in a row without a hit: 1
Streakier than Will Ferrell at the quad, you say? Get the shipping crate ready now boys! We’ve found the weak spot of the Cubs’ roster! We’ve found the position thats most easily replaced! See’ya Meat!
Bring me back, I’m ready! And, I pitch for league minimum, what a bargain!
Michael Barrett has played in 30 games. In the first 15 he drove in 18 runs.
In the next 15, he drove in one run. That’s not streaky at all.
… And I assure you that I’m working as hard as possible to shave some points off of that ERA.
Think those 15 games with 1 RBI have anything to do with the current Cubs lineup? Who’s he going to knock in, the Neifi Hairston hybrid monster? Nothing paints a clearer picture of individual consistency than a statistic that is reliant on teammate contribution.
Really though, you folks oughta be able to tell by now that I’m just blowin smoke up Andy’s and all of your chimneys (read: I’m just kidding, you moran!). The only thing that would help the Cubs at this point would be to quit playing baseball.
Then again, everytime a comment goes against the grain and attempts to make any sense, it usually incites the PMS flavored retort. Like I said, I’m just kiddin’ fellas! Take it the fuck easy, you know, like the Cubs are?
Michael could drive in a run or two if he’d just hit a home run.
That post was right on, unfortunately, the Tribsters have been pulling this stuff ever since they bought the Cubs. Sure, they’ve won 3 divisions and a wildcard but did any of you guys heading into those seasons think this was our year? No, we were all surprised, and in each of those years the Tribsters did nothing in the offseason, knowing after winning a division, the next year would sell out. We can all bitch and moan, but the reality is until the tribune co. sells the Cubs they will always be cheap and they will suck. Mark Cuban tried to buy the Pirates I believe, maybe we can petition him to try to buy the Cubs. We could be the Yankees of the NL. How nice would that be??
Koko’s deader than shit!
Maybe you can all buy as many shares of TRB as possible (you can afford more and more everyday). Then you can elect Andy Chairman of the Board and watch the changes at Tribco.
Of course, you know what this will mean for the 9 O’Clock news, anchored by Jackie Bange and Campbell Brown-Senor….
> Of course, you know what this will mean for the 9 O’Clock news, anchored by Jackie Bange and Campbell Brown-Senor
So you’re saying I’d bring collateral benefits as well…
So, what’s my story?
Ah haw haw haw haw ha ha! hee! hee! It’s over! I’ve been waiting for this day for years! After you fools picked up Dusty Baker, you liberated the Giants and inherited the curse of Dustiny! You thought you had it together after 2003, but now the cubs of old have returned. Back to the old days where your season was over by mid-June and you ran through coaches like numbers in a phone book. Are you primed for a 100 loss season? Are you? Cuz all the teams in the league are feastin’ on ya!
You are detracting from Glendon Rusch’s actual value to the team. When the team is behind by 17 runs in the 7th inning you should send him out there so as to avoid wear and tear on a potentially useful pitcher.
I am following gamecast so i am not sure, but did jaque just get doubled off again? This time with the bases loaded. I thought he said they teach fundamentals in Minn. How does this happen
I hope to break Moises Alou’s old record of sheer baserunning stupidity by June 1.
Dusty blows, but the Giants haven’t done shit since we “liberated” you from him. That’s just a fact, Jack.
Hey, Salacious! Where’s Jabba?
Nice work, Andy. Whitey whould been the manager instead when they hired Riggleman.
Ho! Ho! Ho! Ha! Ha! Ha! Nyahh juba da linog do wah cowa wookie.
Translation: The Giants did do a couple of things after getting rid of Dusty that the Cubs couldn’t do. One of them being oh, actually posting up a couple of winning seasons.
Translator: I know that this translation looks a little long. But cut me some slack. How many times have we seen a guy talk in Spanish or Japanese for about 5 mins only to have the interpretor translate it in a couple of words?
Hey, people, let’s take a look at the interview I did yesterday, you know,
on the off day of reflection. What did I say in the press conference?
Did I hint at a plan? Was I least bringing up Pie and benching Juan 0-4
Pierre? No. Was I hinting that I was in conversations with other
clubs looking for a hitter, preferably with power? No. Was I even
indirectly suggesting that Andy and moi made some off season
miscalculations, how bout letting go of Nomar, acquiring Jones, etc?
No. What did I say? I said that we are sticking with the status quo,
we are not changing anything. In other words, I invited everybody
to a press conference and said NOTHING.
So, and this does include you Dolan( incredible analysis, by the way),
before we begin the ongoing Dusty blame game…number one
responsibility falls on moi, Andy, and the Trib for making the
same off season mistakes as 2 winters ago…Remember Beltran?
Blame does not fall on Dusty for my refusal to trade for somebody
right now to help the team stay afloat till Lee returns… I used to
do those things, remember Kenny Lofton, and Randall Simon
in May? E-ramis in May or June? Well, I don’t do it now. Now
maybe the Trib’s stopped allowing me to, but whatever,
I don’t, nor does Andy, feel we need to inform any of you
fans of that. In fact, we tell you nothing.
Now Dusty is not without some blame…At least he is trying
to come up with better lineups. But, if I were Dusty I would
pull my twin hitting coaches aside, and tell them” either teach
these batters to coax walks, quit swinging at first pitches,
make these corrections across the board in 2 weeks, or
you will be replaced. I don’t have any choice on this, bros.
because I’m as good as gone.”
However, still Dusty is limited in this one. It is Andy and moi
that are on the line. We could make trades but we have been unwilling
to part with our plethora of young MINOR LEAGUE arms. If
you people would wise up and start leaving huge rows of
empty seats, we will be forced to make trades. If you keep
coming like those Mother’s day fans who were waving
and smiling to the camera in the 9th down 9-0, we can keep
on doing nothing, and you guys can keep on beating up
Dusty.
Secret…My 3 biggest mistakes…letting go of Grudz, letting go
of Alou, letting go of Nomar…But, shhh, let’s keep flogging
Dusty.
Does Hendry know French? Moi? Huh?
How about Sean Marshall and Jock Jones for Jose Guillen and Fat Livan?
Hell, Livan could outhit most of your lineup.
Yes, Salacious is right. I posted a couple winning seasons. The Cubs haven’t smelled .500 since they hired Dusty.
By the way, I had no comment about Russ Springer beaning Barry Bonds because I hate that $%!@er too.
“Basically you change the culture by doing everything the opposite of the way the Cubs have done things for a century.’
Make me GM! I know about doing the opposite! and I worked for the Yankees!
2006 batting average: .271.
Career batting average: .298.
Damnit. There goes my bold pronouncement that Matt’s batting average would never drop below .300. Somehow, saying that I don’t think his career average will ever drop below .275 carries much cache.
Just another reason to boo Jock Jones, I guess.
Whats’s with the obsession about wins and losses. Guys, it’s about the Wrigley experience.
If Coletti gets to run the Dodgers how come I can’t be the new Cubs GM?
Then I can take over as Player/Manager. I’m already the only one doing and useful pitching instruction.
ANY useful pitching instruction
If you really want to shake things up, the Cubs hire me as GM. I even went to University of Chicago.
…
Hey I can at least hit right around the mendoza line instead of Blanco’s .057.