The Cubs don’t have to make another roster move after trading Sammy Sosa to the Orioles, because they currently, even with the additions of Jerry Hairston, Jr., Ray Fontenot’s love child and David Crouthers (or whatever his name is), still have an open spot on the 40 man roster. In fact, they still have plenty of room for everybody’s buddy, Jeromy Burnitz! You’re excited, I can tell.
But that doesn’t mean that there aren’t roster battles heading into spring training. No sir. The Cubs 25 man opening day roster is up in the air with literally, one maybe two spots up for grabs! Oooh, the excitement.
Will Dave Kelton make the team or get sent down and get snatched up on waivers by the Braves? Will Will Ohman’s left arm fall off during spring training? Just what purpose does Jose Macias actually fill? These questions, and more will be addressed during spring training, though it’s likely nobody will ever be able to answer the Macias one.
So let’s look at what seems a likely roster make-up coming out of Mesa.
The Cubs last year were going to carry 11 pitchers, but decided that when Mark Prior’s calf began to moo that they needed 12. For this exercise, let’s assume they can go with 11, which is preferable.
Pitchers (11)
The rotation is set with The Franchise–Mark Prior, Carlos Zambrano, Kerry Wood, Greg Maddux and the rejuvenated Glendon Rusch. Technically, Sergio Mitre could still beat out Rusch and send him to the bullpen, but does anybody really think that will happen? Does anybody think that after last year Dusty’s content to throw Glendon under the bullpen car and use Sergio unless he has to?
The bullpen, though, is interesting. Not only is there no set closer, there’s a whole mess of guys battling for six little spots. In fact, if the Cubs carry 12 pitchers it likely won’t be because they need seven guys in the ‘pen, but rather they couldn’t whittle it down to six.
Obviously LaTroy Hawkins is a lock, with the only question being, can someone mercifully win the closer spot from him. Mike Remlinger is the only “proven” lefty (it’d be nice if he’d proven he could get lefty batters out), so he’s in. Ryan Dempster gets the first crack at being the closer, and if The Farns isn’t traded (and Jim Hendry really, really, really, really wants to trade him) he’s in. So that leaves one, maybe two spots for the following guys: The Ice Man–John Leicester, Mike “From bad to” Wuertz, Stephen “The Black Andy Pratt” Randolph, Sergio, Ohman, John Koronka and our all-time favorite Regular “Sweaty” Joe Borowski.
If Sweaty Joe can lift his right arm over his head when camp ends, he’s in. Which means Iowa’s gonna have a kickass bullpen again.
The Ice Man pitched great for most of the season, until the wheels fell off in September. Wuertz was the opposite, not actually getting anybody out until late in the year. Wellemeyer just sat in the bullpen and Dusty forgot he was down there. Of the three, Leicester’s probably the best. Wuertz’s control is…well, we’re friends here…it’s shitty. Wellemeyer has a weird sunken chest and kind of looks like he could be Farnsworth’s little brother. All we know about Ohman is that he brushes his teeth and combs his hair with this left hand and that he’s a smartass. We couldn’t pick Koronka out of a police lineup and we all hope Randolph gets hit by a Mesa City Bus.
So if the Cubs have to take one guy out of this mess it’s Leicester, two, it’s probably Wuertz (God no!) and if they get to three, well, it’s Wellemeyer but that means the old guys in the bullpen have dropped like flies.
Catchers (2)
Have the Cubs really ever had any competition for their catchers’ positions in spring training? I know that one year Don Baylor carried three catchers, but that was because Don’s a complete dumbass, and thought that Bob Machado was just too good to send to Iowa. Excuse me while I bash my head into my desk for twenty minutes now.
Michael Barrett went from “We traded for a catcher who didn’t hit .220?” to the ladies’ favorite Cub in a year. He was better than we expected behind the plate, but only because we expected him to be playing caroms off the backstop every four pitches. At the plate, he was what he’s always been when healthy, a solid hitter with decent pop. He, by nature of his personality, is the leader of the team, at least of the position players, and he doesn’t say “buddy” after every sentence. But, he’ll learn.
Hank White’s arrival is hugely anticipated by…well, me. I already have developed an unhealthy manlove for Henry Blanco, not only because he’s not Gabor Bako, but because…no, it’s just because he’s not Gabor. Hank has all of the makings of a cult hero. He speaks no English (that we know of), he’s fat and he has, as Frank Costanza would say, “a rocket for an arm!” Oh, and he’s not a worse hitter than Bako, he’s just more consistent…at hitting .210.
Infielders (6?)
There’s a question mark there because where do you put Jerry Hairston, Jr.? Is he an infielder, is he an outfielder? For now, we’ll list him with the outfielders. The Cubs have the second best set of corner infielders in the National League (next to the guy with the bad foot and the guy with the bad calf in St. Louis) in Derrek Lee and E-ramis Ramirez. Lee got off to a bad start last year then tore through June, July and August and then kind of went back to sleep in September. The theory is that he’s always a slow starter but that he’ll have a better start this year because he’ll have figured out ways to deal with the chilly Chicago springs, and he’ll have guys on the bench this year to give him a day off once and a while, which he didn’t have last year when Todd Hollandsworth shot himself in the leg. Ramirez was a stud last year, and played the second half of the season with a sore groin. Todd Walker will be taking time from non-stop radio interviews, we hope, to play second base every day. He’s a far better offensive player than Mark Grudzielanek, and his defense was mediocre, but not horrid like we’d all been warned it would be. The real excitement for the infield, and really, for the offense in general is in seeing what it looks like when (if) Nomar is healthy for an entire season. He’s the best shortstop in the National League, which could be damning him with faint praise, but it’s not his fault the rest of them stink.
Neifi Perez enjoyed an improbable run as Nomar’s caddy last year, and he’s back replacing the ever emotionless Ramon Martinez. Ramon had some real talents. He was an adequate defensive replacement at third, short and second (though his range at short was about a half step in either direction) and he never threw his helmet. Hey, that’s something, right? Also along for another season (and we don’t know why) is Jose Macias. Jose walked five times last year in 194 at bats. His first walk came on June 23. That’s right, he played in 41 games before he walked. He hopes to obliterate this streak this year. That’s…great?
The Cubs have invited Cody Ransom to spring training to battle for a spot that doesn’t exist. Cody’s already bought a place in Des Moines.
Outfielders (6)
There is a lot of hand wringing going on right now about how the Cubs are going to replace Moises Alou and Sammy Sosa. People keep pointing to having to replace 39 homers and 106 RBI from Moises and 35 homers and 80 RBI from Sammy. But given Moises’ age and Sammy’s recent track record, if you had brought back Moises and Sammy, would Moises and Sammy have been able to match their 2004 production?
Probably not. Especially Moises.
Corey Patterson returns and honestly, if the Cubs started that first day against the Diamondbacks with Corey in the outfield by himself, defensively he wouldn’t even notice the difference. But, all indications are that Dusty does intend to use a three outfielder alignment, so he needs to find a couple of guys.
Todd Hollandsworth is going to be in the mix in either left or right. When healthy last year he was tremendous, but like every other season in his career, he couldn’t stay healthy. When he’s in there he gives the Cubs an excellent defensive player, a good baserunner and an above average lefthanded bat with some pop. Jerry Hairston will also factor in, and in an ideal situation would play a lot of left field and lead off. He also has been chronically injured during his career, mainly by foot problems and had surgery in November to hopefully cure him of those problems. Right field is either going to be the domain of Jason Dubois or of…uh…how do I type this without having to look at it? Jeromy Burnitz. Ahhhh! Damnit! I looked up.
I’m not one of those guys who thinks the Cubs should just hand right field to Dubois, but I am one of those guys who thinks that signing Burnitz is a waste of time and money. Granted, Jeromy is not a terrible player, but he’s old, he’s bald, he’s a liable to have a good year as a bad one (ask the Mets, in two years he had one of each for them) and frankly, he’s not an upgrade over what the Cubs already have.
You would hope the Cubs will sit back and work on trade options for guys like Aubrey Huff or Austin Kearns, and not bother to tie up a roster spot and money on Burnitz. You can logically assume that Dubois, playing every day, will at worst approximate Burnitz’s numbers without costing you the cash or the spot on the 40-man, since Jason’s already got one. Why not just use him and sift through trade offers for your bumper crop of young righthanded pitching in the minors. Am I missing something here?
If the Cubs go with 11 pitchers they’ll have room for 14 position players, obviously, and that’s two catchers, six infielders and six outfielders. That means there’s room for Dave Kelton, the erstwhile third base/outfield prospect with wonderful physical tools and so far no chance to actually use them in the big leagues. If the Cubs carry 11 pitchers, Kelton makes the team and rots on Dusty’s bench. If the Cubs carry 12 pitchers, Kelton either makes the team at the expense of the useless and now redudant part, Jose Macias and has to be sent back to Iowa. Kelton’s out of options and would have to clear waivers and as I wrote before, he’ll be playing for the Braves in April.
There are certain things I know. I know that if Sammy Sosa turns down Baltimore’s two year $20 million contract extension, that he’ll end up playing on the cheap for Florida next year, and I know that if the Cubs’ waive Dave Kelton, Bobby Cox will give Jim Hendry a hug when the teams first meet in July.
If Cox can find a useful role for Justice Charles Thomas, like he did last year, he can find one for Kelton. But it’s February 1 and I’m way ahead of myself.
—————–
One last thing, since this isn’t really a Daily Dose because I didn’t do any links today, I’m going to share this with you anyway.
Last night on MSNBC, Dan Abrams was hosting a show where they were previewing the Michael Jackson Trial/Freakshow and Dan had a very intelligent, very passionate African-American advocate who expressed his utter dismay that the defense wasn’t able to get a change of venue for the trial to a place that “more closely and accurately represents Michael Jackson.” What he meant, of course was, to a more African-American populated area.
But my question is this? Is this man an African American?
And even if he is, or was, would African-Americans identify with him anyway? Frankly, if Michael Jackson’s going to find a jury of his peers, the trial’s going to have to be moved to the Galapagos Islands.
Michael Jackson stopped being African-American about the time he started writing crap like “Man in the Mirror.” (Try counting the hiccups in that song sometime. I think it’s about 486.)
And sign Magglio!
Sorry I’m late.
Hate to disappoint “Commentating” by NOT “commenting” at the “drop of a hat”.
Not that I’ve got anything to say; no, I’m just touched that my dopiness actually matter to “somebody”.
SP – Wood
SP – Prior
SP – Zambrano
SP – Maddux
SP – G-Unit
Closer – Dempster
RHP – Hawkins
LHP – Remlinger
RHP – Farnsworth
LHP – Ohman
RHP – Leicester
C – Barrett
1B – Lee
2B – Walker
SS – Nomar
3B – Ram
CF – Patterson
RF – Hollandsworth
LF – Burnitz (crap!)
Bench – Blanco
Bench – Hairston Jr.
Bench – Macias
Bench – Perez
Bench – Dubois
Bench – Kelton
Hendry doesn’t give up a position prospect (Kelton) at this point and get nothing in return. He is aware of our lack of homegrown talent in the field.
So, this is me likely 25 man roster coming out of Spring Training.
Andy,
One guy that nobody mentioned as a candidate for one of the outfield sports that I kind of like is Coco Crisp from the Indians.
Yeah, there is the interesting name, but he also had a pretty good 2004. He was born in 1979, so he would add some youth among the position players.
I ask all of the readers to look at his numbers last year for Cleveland. 15 HR, 20 SB, and in left field he had much better range factor numbers than the AL average. However, he’s only played three seasons and only last year did he put up some strong numbers. However, he definitely showed talent and this team needs to get a little younger in the field and I think he could actually do a really good job as a leadoff guy. I like him as a possibility for the Cubs and think he would be infinitely better than the Burnitz option. Put him in left, put Hollandubois in right, and have Hairston come off the bench as an utility guy for both the outfield corner positions and second base. That would be my solution.
The only issue is what would Cleveland take for him.
“Outfield sports”
Guh.
I could have been signed last week before the yankees signed me. See you in the World Series! I hit the game winning triple in the last playoff game the Cubs won!
Seriously, though, I hope that they don;t sign Burnitz. Corner outfielders are a dime a dozen, and if they enter Spring training with Hairston/Kelton and Hollandsworth/Dubois, they can always get another OF later in the year or towards the trading deadline. In truth, other than not getting a proven closer the past 2 years, Hendry really hasn’t let us down on anything. He’s gotten Lofton, Ramirez, Maddux, Nomar, Hawkins, Barrett and Lee at minimal expense over the past few years (cost: Bruback, Hill, Jose Hernandez, F Beltran, J Jones, Choi, AGonz, draft picks, money). He has improved us yearly, and we all agree that signing Alou long term, or keeping Sosa would have proven detrimental to the team (Sosa could have fixed this himself, and chose not to.) Hendry has an armament of … uh, arms in the system and he cancertainly package a few to get a Huff or Kearns or Ichiro if he wants and needs to. I think we all agree that the Cubs won’t be entering the playoffs with the same team they have now, obviously Magglio would be a great short term deal, and that we should expect Wood and Prior to win more than 14 combined games next year. Remember, the Cubs missed the playoffs by 3 games, they won more games than 2003, and the Asstros and Morans are decidedly worse.
Screw you Dolan! I’m the shiz-nizzle.
How about following the Barry Rozner school of filling your outfield, which would to wait for Seattle to fall into the tank, and then to get Ichiro from them for a package that would include a couple starting pitching prospects, Jason Dubois and maybe even Felix Pie.
Since Jerry Hairston’s full name is Jerry Wayne Hairston, Jr. can we start calling him “Chipper”?
You’ve got to figure that Larry Wayne Jones is going to drop the nickname, so as to avoid being confused with a certain Braves broadcaster.
Coco Crisp is a .700-.800 OPS guy who plays good defense. That ain’t a corner outfielder.
Dusty, to me, sometime in August: “What are you doing with that bat in your hand, Jason? You know I ain’t gonna let you hit against these major league dudes.
Me: “I aim to kill you with it. Unnh hunnh”
I love that Jerry’s name is Jerry Wayne. I just hope for his (and his wife’s) sake he stays out of Hooters.
Coco Crisp is Endy Chavez with an even stranger name.
Brings up a good question: who gets to be Slingblade this year? The guy who looks like him or the guy who sounds like him?
I thought I was the ladies’ favorite cub.
Can you have too many Slingblades? Is it possible?
15 HR last year for Crisp… I would argue he would be much more solid in a left field role than Hairston or Walker. I’m not saying Crisp would be a superstar in left field, but if he gave us 20 HR and 85 RBI and 20 SB with a .295-.305 BA and a .360 OBP (Which I think is pretty realistic considering the amount of improvement he made between the 2003 and 2004 seasons), I would take that in a heartbeat. Add in the fact Crisp was around .050 better than the left field AL range factor average the past two seasons, and I think it would be a good, forward-thinking move. And he would only be 26 on November 1, 2005.
I also think the Endy Chavez comparision isn’t fair to Crisp. Crisp had 15 HR last year, Chavez had 6. Crisp’s BA was 20 points better last year and his OBP was 26 points better. And Crisp had 37 more RBI last year. Chavez’s only advantages to Crisp are more steals on the bases and having better range in center. However, Crisp brings a lot more to the table, and for once I would like the Cubs to have two outfielders who were above average defensively at their position instead of just one.
Andy,
I had to laugh at some of your comments with the analysis of this year’s 25 man roster. But for the most part you are pretty much on target. Just for the hell of it, this is my 25 man roster starting the 2005 season:
SP-Maddux(he’ll be the a Hall of Famer and do his job again)
SP-Wood(once again will show time on the DL)
SP-Prior(could return to form of 2003 season, let’s hope so)
SP-Zambrano(will be the Lawnmower Man that you don’t screw with)
SP-Mitre(If he has a good performance in spring training-Besides, we’ll
have Rusch in the same role as last year both as a starter
because you know one of our starters(probably Wood will be on
the DL once again) and in the bullpen
Closer-Dempster(totally unproven)
RHP-Hawkins(should be setup man in 8th and that is it)
LHP-Remlinger(deteriorating as we speak)
RHP-Borowski(I think I speak for all Cubs fans, we’d love to see Regular
Joe succeed and come back, but he will just be taking up space)
RHP-Farnsworthless(he will only be around for a bit, in the end, he will be
traded for an outfielder we need-so Kyle enjoy the boos you will
receive in Wrigley while they last
LHP-Rusch(his deal with the Devil will probably run out this year)
RHP-Leicester(could go either way with this guy, but I think he’ll be fine)
C-Barrett(Badass of this team that plays with attitude)
1B-Lee(put on some warm underwear and perform in April & May)
2B-Walker(Shut the hell up with your interviews and be the professional
player you are, which is a good one)
SS-Nomar(could be a fan favorite if healthy-where Nomar goes, Cubs go
3B-Ramirez(will be our offensive MVP again if his groin doesn’t blow up)
LF-Dubois(will finally shove it up Dusty’s ass with the chance he deserves)
CF-Patterson(will perform once again under the level of all his hype)
RF-Hollandsworth-(could be fine as long as he wears a shin guard)
Bench
C-Blanco(anything is a step up from Gabor Bako)
IF-Perez(another step up from Mony Martinez)
OF/IF-Hairston Jr.-(could be our next Tom Goodwin put plays both
the IF/OF)
OF/IF-Macias(won’t do any better then last year)
OF-Kelton(he’ll be a nice bench warmer, that’s about it)
*During the season, trade probably Farnsworthless, Mitre, or Kelton, the roster will probably have that outfielder we were needing all along and probably Wellemeyer and Wuertz will join the roster sometime.
We have a lot of what ifs, buts, and probablys right now, which for the most part, isn’t a good sign for a contender. We’re a team that needs to be under the radar and try to sneak up on someone. But with that horrid bullpen, I don’t like our early chances. Ask yourself, who in that bullpen would one hold confidence in. Not one damn person. Our bench should be a touch better since we dropped off some human waste(Bako, Goodwin, and Martinez.) But don’t get too excited.
Alot will be on the shoulders of the likes of Nomar, Ramirez, and Lee offensively. As far as pitching, relying on Kerry Wood for a whole season is like taking a loaded gun to your head, pulling the trigger, and thinking you’re going to make it out alive. It’s not going to happen. Does one really think Rusch will have that great season again. Sorry the devil is out of town to sign that contract Glendon.
Finally, we still have Dusty Baker as our manager. That puts a nail in the coffin of our playoff chances. Sorry folks, maybe next year.
Prediction:Cubs finish 3rd in the National League Central.
At end of the year, Dusty Baker will resign as manager of the Chicago Cubs.
Sorry, but being the optimistic Cub fan I am, that’s how I see it. But you just never know with the Cubs.
Good luck,
Baker Basher
Burnitz is the way to go. We need more power. We have a power shortage. Nomar, Ramirez, Lee, Barrett and Patterson are singles hitters we need put a big strong guy behind them. I mean how many games did we lose last season by not hitting enough homeruns. Imagine if we have less. I runs only count when they are homers. dont they?
Actually, for the once King Of Pop, now King of Freaks to find a jury of his peers, the trial would have to be moved to Mars. Also, if I was black, I would have nothing but disgust for someone who’s turned himself through massive plastic surgery and skin lightening from a nice young black kid with a normal nose into some sort of white female-like creature with a nose held on by duct tape.
Hiya, bitches! $5MM, there’s a party at my house, and I’m buying! C’mon over Kyle, the hookers are on me.
I got the pot.
Okay, this is just too cruel
I’ll bring my piss soaked hands!! ..Oh wait, I’m not invited :(
You’re still forgetting about me! MEEEE!
Can I come?
Where dah white wimmin’ at?
$5MM for Burnitz? You mean we went a full mil more than Pissburgh?
Two guys who will ‘come out of nowhere’ this year and have big, surprise seasons like Borowski did in his first year with tha Cub: Michael Wuertz and Will Ohman. Both of them will pitch far better than Ryan Dempster.
A couple other relievers who probably have no chance of making the team, but who could be really good if they do: Valdez and Van Buren.
Beware of Jon Leicester.
Beware of Wellemeyer’s shoulder and the fact that, if healthy, he will once again suffer from the fact that Dusty doesn’t have a clue how to run a pitching staff. Wellemeyer hasn’t had a regular job anywhere since A-ball. He won’t succeed with the Cubs (unless Dusty is replaced…not bloody likely)
Leicester and Wellemeyer are extremely similar in terms of history and quality, the only difference being that Wellemeyer now has health issues.
–Both throw hard and get strikeouts
–Both are guys who started in the minors but pitched middle/long relief in the bigs
–Both had immediate success despite not being highly touted prospects
–Both walked too many hitters throughout their minor league careers, and have been somewhat inconsistent under Dusty’s goofy handling of relievers
–Both have more value as trade bait than anything else, and are pretty much just guys who give the Cubs bullpen depth, without projecting to turn into anything special.
–Both are capable of surprising us and having good careers
–Both are capable, by some strange twist of fate, of ending up as the #5 starter in the rotation by the end of ’05
As it is, it wouldn’t break my heart to see either of them go, but, assuming Wellemeyer’s healthy, I’d take him over Leicester, simply because he misses more bats. Plus, his been bumped around so much that he might surprise us if he was just allowed to get consistent work as a middle-reliever.
I won’t attempt to make any predictions about Farnsworth, because it’s impossible to know about him, but I will say this: the organization’s frenzied amassing of bullpen arms doesn’t bode well for his future with the Cubs.
Yes, of course Randolph sucks.
People worry about the bullpen, but I’d rather have a bullpen with 6 good relievers sans legit closer, than what other teams have: a (usually marginal) closer, a good set-up guy, a halfway decent lefty, and a bunch of yayhoos.
Hawkins, Wuertz, Ohman, and Greybeard will be good.
One of the following will be good: Dempster, Farnsworth, Borowski
One of the following will be good: Valdez, Van Buren, Wellemeyer, Leicester
One of the following will be an accepable swingman (meaning he won’t TOTALLY suck): Rusch, Mitre, or one of the leftovers above (most likely Valdez or Leicester)
At the end of the season, the Cubs will have another 5-6 legit contenders for bullpen slots, as Fox and Williamson may be ready, and several from a large group of young pitchers progress (Guzman, Brownlie, Pinto, Rohlicek; possibly Nolasco and others)
That’s a good bullpen, once things get sorted out (June). The Cubs should have a strong second half. Our options aren’t nearly as bad as people make them out to be, we just have a lot of talented guys with question marks. Our biggest problem is that we have a manager who often refuses to play the guy who, to everyone else, is the better player.
Hopefully Dave Hansen (or SOMEONE) will win Macias’ spot. I don’t see any possibility of Kelton making the team unless Dubois comes down with an injury or goes 0-50 in Spring Training. Kelton’s big ‘shot’ came last year, when, after a month in which he slugged about .700 in Iowa, he was recalled as an injury replacement and promptly…sat on the bench, while Dusty gave starts in RF to Jose Macias. That’s the best shot Kelton’s going to get with the Cubs (and he doesn’t really deserve much of a shot anyway).
I’m hoping Dubois somehow wrests the everyday LF job away from pretenders like Hollandsworth and Hairston, because he will hit. His mediocre AA numbers are a result of his playing injured in the second half–his first half was almost as good as his AAA season (and in a pitchers’ park). He has always hit, and he will always hit. If (by some miracle) he is the Cubs’ starting LF for the whole season, he will have a better ’05 than Alou will with the Giants. The problem is, the first time he has two bad games in a row, he’ll be riding the bench for the rest of the season.
What I’d like to see:
Wood
Prior
Zambrano
Maddux
Rusch
Wuertz
Hawkins
Greybeard
Ohman
Farnsworth or Dempster or Borowski
Valdez or Van Buren or Leicester or Wellemeyer
Mitre
Walker/Hairston, 2b
Garciaparra, ss
Patterson, cf
Lee, 1b
Ramirez, 3b
Burnitz, rf
Dubois, lf
Barrett, c
(pitcher)
Blanco, c
Perez, inf
Hanson, ph
Hollandsworth, of-1b
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