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Author Topic: Crazy Uncle Milton's Shot Blasting Sploogefest Emporium  ( 141,979 )

PenFoe

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Re: Crazy Uncle Milton's Shot Blasting Sploogefest Emporium
« Reply #165 on: June 22, 2009, 12:11:59 PM »
Quote from: Jon on June 22, 2009, 12:10:06 PM
Quote from: IrishYeti on June 22, 2009, 12:06:01 PM
Bump for this:

http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/gl.cgi?n1=bradlmi01&t=b&year=2009&share=0.92#860-869-sum:batting_gamelogs

Over his 10 game hitting streak: .389/.450/.950. I guess you could bitch about the 2 RBIs and no HRs, but I figure if this guy just starts hitting in general, that shit will come.

This has also raised his BA by 40 points.

Well, those are certainly his fault.

Do they have batting average RISP for those days?
Not saying it should be more, just wondering.
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Jon

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Re: Crazy Uncle Milton's Shot Blasting Sploogefest Emporium
« Reply #166 on: June 22, 2009, 12:13:21 PM »
Quote from: PenFoe on June 22, 2009, 12:11:59 PM
Quote from: Jon on June 22, 2009, 12:10:06 PM
Quote from: IrishYeti on June 22, 2009, 12:06:01 PM
Bump for this:

http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/gl.cgi?n1=bradlmi01&t=b&year=2009&share=0.92#860-869-sum:batting_gamelogs

Over his 10 game hitting streak: .389/.450/.950. I guess you could bitch about the 2 RBIs and no HRs, but I figure if this guy just starts hitting in general, that shit will come.

This has also raised his BA by 40 points.

Well, those are certainly his fault.

Do they have batting average RISP for those days?
Not saying it should be more, just wondering.

Well, that really would be too small a sample size.
Take that, Adolf Eyechart.

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Quality Start Machine

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Re: Crazy Uncle Milton's Shot Blasting Sploogefest Emporium
« Reply #167 on: June 22, 2009, 12:44:09 PM »

The fact that he's starting to hit doesn't erase the fact that, on a daily basis, he does things so stupid that a Little Leaguer would get benched for it.
TIME TO POST!

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ChuckD

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Re: Crazy Uncle Milton's Shot Blasting Sploogefest Emporium
« Reply #168 on: June 22, 2009, 12:44:49 PM »
Maybe Milton just has a thing for the three hole.

Split          G GS PA AB R  H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO    BA   OBP   SLG   OPS TB GDP HBP SH SF IBB ROE BAbip tOPS+ sOPS+
Batting 3rd   19 19 82 74 9 25  5  1  1   7  0  0  6 10  .338  .402  .473  .875 35   3   2  0  0   0   0  .381   133   112
Batting 4th   11 11 44 33 6  5  1  0  1   3  0  0  9  7  .152  .364  .273  .636  9   1   2  0  0   0   0  .160    72    60
Batting 5th   11 11 44 39 6  7  1  0  2   4  0  0  5 10  .179  .273  .359  .632 14   2   0  0  0   1   0  .185    68    60
Batting 6th    3  2  9  9 1  2  0  0  1   2  0  0  0  3  .222  .222  .556  .778  5   0   0  0  0   0   0  .200   103    97
Batting 7th    2  0  2  1 0  1  0  0  0   0  0  0  1  0 1.000 1.000 1.000 2.000  1   0   0  0  0   0   0 1.000   434   462
Batting 9th    6  0  6  5 0  0  0  0  0   0  0  0  1  3  .000  .167  .000  .167  0   0   0  0  0   0   0  .000   -53   -39


He's hit safely in 18 of the 19 games when in the third spot. More likely though, with Lee starting to hit, he's probably seeing some better pitches.

Shooter

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Re: Crazy Uncle Milton's Shot Blasting Sploogefest Emporium
« Reply #169 on: June 22, 2009, 12:47:17 PM »
Quote from: ChuckD on June 22, 2009, 12:44:49 PM
Maybe Milton just has a thing for the three hole.

Split          G GS PA AB R  H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO    BA   OBP   SLG   OPS TB GDP HBP SH SF IBB ROE BAbip tOPS+ sOPS+
Batting 3rd   19 19 82 74 9 25  5  1  1   7  0  0  6 10  .338  .402  .473  .875 35   3   2  0  0   0   0  .381   133   112
Batting 4th   11 11 44 33 6  5  1  0  1   3  0  0  9  7  .152  .364  .273  .636  9   1   2  0  0   0   0  .160    72    60
Batting 5th   11 11 44 39 6  7  1  0  2   4  0  0  5 10  .179  .273  .359  .632 14   2   0  0  0   1   0  .185    68    60
Batting 6th    3  2  9  9 1  2  0  0  1   2  0  0  0  3  .222  .222  .556  .778  5   0   0  0  0   0   0  .200   103    97
Batting 7th    2  0  2  1 0  1  0  0  0   0  0  0  1  0 1.000 1.000 1.000 2.000  1   0   0  0  0   0   0 1.000   434   462
Batting 9th    6  0  6  5 0  0  0  0  0   0  0  0  1  3  .000  .167  .000  .167  0   0   0  0  0   0   0  .000   -53   -39


He's hit safely in 18 of the 19 games when in the third spot.

Looks like a lot of "luck" -- his BABIP is unusually high when batting 3rd and unusually low when batting 4th and 5th.

Oleg

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Re: Crazy Uncle Milton's Shot Blasting Sploogefest Emporium
« Reply #170 on: June 22, 2009, 01:01:32 PM »
Quote from: Shooter on June 22, 2009, 12:47:17 PM
Quote from: ChuckD on June 22, 2009, 12:44:49 PM
Maybe Milton just has a thing for the three hole.

Split          G GS PA AB R  H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO    BA   OBP   SLG   OPS TB GDP HBP SH SF IBB ROE BAbip tOPS+ sOPS+
Batting 3rd   19 19 82 74 9 25  5  1  1   7  0  0  6 10  .338  .402  .473  .875 35   3   2  0  0   0   0  .381   133   112
Batting 4th   11 11 44 33 6  5  1  0  1   3  0  0  9  7  .152  .364  .273  .636  9   1   2  0  0   0   0  .160    72    60
Batting 5th   11 11 44 39 6  7  1  0  2   4  0  0  5 10  .179  .273  .359  .632 14   2   0  0  0   1   0  .185    68    60
Batting 6th    3  2  9  9 1  2  0  0  1   2  0  0  0  3  .222  .222  .556  .778  5   0   0  0  0   0   0  .200   103    97
Batting 7th    2  0  2  1 0  1  0  0  0   0  0  0  1  0 1.000 1.000 1.000 2.000  1   0   0  0  0   0   0 1.000   434   462
Batting 9th    6  0  6  5 0  0  0  0  0   0  0  0  1  3  .000  .167  .000  .167  0   0   0  0  0   0   0  .000   -53   -39


He's hit safely in 18 of the 19 games when in the third spot.

Looks like a lot of "luck" -- his BABIP is unusually high when batting 3rd and unusually low when batting 4th and 5th.

I've learned to take BABiP with a grain of salt without having other stats, like line drive %, to go along with it.

Even when Milton was not hitting, he was still walking.  Without looking at the numbers, I would guess his walk rate and K rate held steady in regard to his career.

Seriously, why isn't he hitting 7th more often?  OK, that wasn't serious.

Kermit, B.

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Re: Crazy Uncle Milton's Shot Blasting Sploogefest Emporium
« Reply #171 on: June 22, 2009, 01:18:03 PM »
Quote from: Fork on June 22, 2009, 12:44:09 PM

The fact that he's starting to hit doesn't erase the fact that, on a daily basis, he does things so stupid that a Little Leaguer would get benched for it.

No he doesn't.
Hire Jim Essian!

ChuckD

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Re: Crazy Uncle Milton's Shot Blasting Sploogefest Emporium
« Reply #172 on: June 22, 2009, 01:29:23 PM »
Quote from: Oleg on June 22, 2009, 01:01:32 PM
Quote from: Shooter on June 22, 2009, 12:47:17 PM
Quote from: ChuckD on June 22, 2009, 12:44:49 PM
Maybe Milton just has a thing for the three hole.

Split          G GS PA AB R  H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO    BA   OBP   SLG   OPS TB GDP HBP SH SF IBB ROE BAbip tOPS+ sOPS+
Batting 3rd   19 19 82 74 9 25  5  1  1   7  0  0  6 10  .338  .402  .473  .875 35   3   2  0  0   0   0  .381   133   112
Batting 4th   11 11 44 33 6  5  1  0  1   3  0  0  9  7  .152  .364  .273  .636  9   1   2  0  0   0   0  .160    72    60
Batting 5th   11 11 44 39 6  7  1  0  2   4  0  0  5 10  .179  .273  .359  .632 14   2   0  0  0   1   0  .185    68    60
Batting 6th    3  2  9  9 1  2  0  0  1   2  0  0  0  3  .222  .222  .556  .778  5   0   0  0  0   0   0  .200   103    97
Batting 7th    2  0  2  1 0  1  0  0  0   0  0  0  1  0 1.000 1.000 1.000 2.000  1   0   0  0  0   0   0 1.000   434   462
Batting 9th    6  0  6  5 0  0  0  0  0   0  0  0  1  3  .000  .167  .000  .167  0   0   0  0  0   0   0  .000   -53   -39


He's hit safely in 18 of the 19 games when in the third spot.

Looks like a lot of "luck" -- his BABIP is unusually high when batting 3rd and unusually low when batting 4th and 5th.

I've learned to take BABiP with a grain of salt without having other stats, like line drive %, to go along with it.

Even when Milton was not hitting, he was still walking.  Without looking at the numbers, I would guess his walk rate and K rate held steady in regard to his career.

Seriously, why isn't he hitting 7th more often?  OK, that wasn't serious.

With a little finagling of data from FanGraphs and BBRef, it's possible to approximate his LD% splits across batting order position. This assumes that if he starts in batting order position X, every AB he takes during the game occurs in that batting position. ExpBABIP is estimated at .120 + the LD%. Residual is the difference between the BABIP and ExpBABIP--you might call it "luck." So, Milton's been slightly "lucky" in the third spot, and somewhere between "unlucky" and "really unlucky" everywhere else (although, 6, 7, and 9 are insignificant in terms of sample sizes).

BOP LD% BABIP ExpBABIP Residual
3 0.254 0.381 0.374 0.007
4 0.077 0.160 0.197 -0.037
5 0.179 0.185 0.299 -0.114
6 0.167 0.200 0.287 -0.087
7 1.000 1.000 1.120 -0.120
9 0.000 0.000 0.120 -0.120
Total 0.198 0.285 0.318 -0.033


Oleg

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Re: Crazy Uncle Milton's Shot Blasting Sploogefest Emporium
« Reply #173 on: June 22, 2009, 01:36:39 PM »
Quote from: ChuckD on June 22, 2009, 01:29:23 PM
Quote from: Oleg on June 22, 2009, 01:01:32 PM
Quote from: Shooter on June 22, 2009, 12:47:17 PM
Quote from: ChuckD on June 22, 2009, 12:44:49 PM
Maybe Milton just has a thing for the three hole.

Split          G GS PA AB R  H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO    BA   OBP   SLG   OPS TB GDP HBP SH SF IBB ROE BAbip tOPS+ sOPS+
Batting 3rd   19 19 82 74 9 25  5  1  1   7  0  0  6 10  .338  .402  .473  .875 35   3   2  0  0   0   0  .381   133   112
Batting 4th   11 11 44 33 6  5  1  0  1   3  0  0  9  7  .152  .364  .273  .636  9   1   2  0  0   0   0  .160    72    60
Batting 5th   11 11 44 39 6  7  1  0  2   4  0  0  5 10  .179  .273  .359  .632 14   2   0  0  0   1   0  .185    68    60
Batting 6th    3  2  9  9 1  2  0  0  1   2  0  0  0  3  .222  .222  .556  .778  5   0   0  0  0   0   0  .200   103    97
Batting 7th    2  0  2  1 0  1  0  0  0   0  0  0  1  0 1.000 1.000 1.000 2.000  1   0   0  0  0   0   0 1.000   434   462
Batting 9th    6  0  6  5 0  0  0  0  0   0  0  0  1  3  .000  .167  .000  .167  0   0   0  0  0   0   0  .000   -53   -39


He's hit safely in 18 of the 19 games when in the third spot.

Looks like a lot of "luck" -- his BABIP is unusually high when batting 3rd and unusually low when batting 4th and 5th.

I've learned to take BABiP with a grain of salt without having other stats, like line drive %, to go along with it.

Even when Milton was not hitting, he was still walking.  Without looking at the numbers, I would guess his walk rate and K rate held steady in regard to his career.

Seriously, why isn't he hitting 7th more often?  OK, that wasn't serious.

With a little finagling of data from FanGraphs and BBRef, it's possible to approximate his LD% splits across batting order position. This assumes that if he starts in batting order position X, every AB he takes during the game occurs in that batting position. ExpBABIP is estimated at .120 + the LD%. Residual is the difference between the BABIP and ExpBABIP--you might call it "luck." So, Milton's been slightly "lucky" in the third spot, and somewhere between "unlucky" and "really unlucky" everywhere else (although, 6, 7, and 9 are insignificant in terms of sample sizes).

BOP LD% BABIP ExpBABIP Residual
3 0.254 0.381 0.374 0.007
4 0.077 0.160 0.197 -0.037
5 0.179 0.185 0.299 -0.114
6 0.167 0.200 0.287 -0.087
7 1.000 1.000 1.120 -0.120
9 0.000 0.000 0.120 -0.120
Total 0.198 0.285 0.318 -0.033



Would have any idea what the average LD% is for a major leaguer?  How about for a third place hitter?  Outfielders?

Overall, this does bode well for Bradley for the rest of the year.

Internet Apex

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Re: Crazy Uncle Milton's Shot Blasting Sploogefest Emporium
« Reply #174 on: June 22, 2009, 01:37:25 PM »
Quote from: Kermit, B. on June 22, 2009, 01:18:03 PM
Quote from: Fork on June 22, 2009, 12:44:09 PM

The fact that he's starting to hit doesn't erase the fact that, on a daily basis, he does things so stupid that a Little Leaguer would get benched for it.

No he doesn't.

So far, yelling at an umpire and heaving a ball into the stands are the only things he's done that would get a little leaguer benched. Where does that rank him on the list of Criminally Baseball Stupid for 2009? He's no Michael Barrett.
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Chuck to Chuck

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Re: Crazy Uncle Milton's Shot Blasting Sploogefest Emporium
« Reply #175 on: June 22, 2009, 01:41:47 PM »
Quote from: Internet Apex on June 22, 2009, 01:37:25 PM
So far, yelling at an umpire and heaving a ball into the stands are the only things he's done that would get a little leaguer benched. Where does that rank him on the list of Criminally Baseball Stupid for 2009? He's no Michael Barrett.
The heaving the ball in the stands undersells his fuck up.  He forgot how many outs there were and decided to showboat.

As to equating him to Barrett, you have to give Bradley a chance.  Barrett had two and a half seasons under hsi belt here when Z busted him up.  Give Bradley another 300 games and then compare.

ChuckD

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Re: Crazy Uncle Milton's Shot Blasting Sploogefest Emporium
« Reply #176 on: June 22, 2009, 01:43:43 PM »
Quote from: Oleg on June 22, 2009, 01:36:39 PM
Quote from: ChuckD on June 22, 2009, 01:29:23 PM
Quote from: Oleg on June 22, 2009, 01:01:32 PM
Quote from: Shooter on June 22, 2009, 12:47:17 PM
Quote from: ChuckD on June 22, 2009, 12:44:49 PM
Maybe Milton just has a thing for the three hole.

Split          G GS PA AB R  H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO    BA   OBP   SLG   OPS TB GDP HBP SH SF IBB ROE BAbip tOPS+ sOPS+
Batting 3rd   19 19 82 74 9 25  5  1  1   7  0  0  6 10  .338  .402  .473  .875 35   3   2  0  0   0   0  .381   133   112
Batting 4th   11 11 44 33 6  5  1  0  1   3  0  0  9  7  .152  .364  .273  .636  9   1   2  0  0   0   0  .160    72    60
Batting 5th   11 11 44 39 6  7  1  0  2   4  0  0  5 10  .179  .273  .359  .632 14   2   0  0  0   1   0  .185    68    60
Batting 6th    3  2  9  9 1  2  0  0  1   2  0  0  0  3  .222  .222  .556  .778  5   0   0  0  0   0   0  .200   103    97
Batting 7th    2  0  2  1 0  1  0  0  0   0  0  0  1  0 1.000 1.000 1.000 2.000  1   0   0  0  0   0   0 1.000   434   462
Batting 9th    6  0  6  5 0  0  0  0  0   0  0  0  1  3  .000  .167  .000  .167  0   0   0  0  0   0   0  .000   -53   -39


He's hit safely in 18 of the 19 games when in the third spot.

Looks like a lot of "luck" -- his BABIP is unusually high when batting 3rd and unusually low when batting 4th and 5th.

I've learned to take BABiP with a grain of salt without having other stats, like line drive %, to go along with it.

Even when Milton was not hitting, he was still walking.  Without looking at the numbers, I would guess his walk rate and K rate held steady in regard to his career.

Seriously, why isn't he hitting 7th more often?  OK, that wasn't serious.

With a little finagling of data from FanGraphs and BBRef, it's possible to approximate his LD% splits across batting order position. This assumes that if he starts in batting order position X, every AB he takes during the game occurs in that batting position. ExpBABIP is estimated at .120 + the LD%. Residual is the difference between the BABIP and ExpBABIP--you might call it "luck." So, Milton's been slightly "lucky" in the third spot, and somewhere between "unlucky" and "really unlucky" everywhere else (although, 6, 7, and 9 are insignificant in terms of sample sizes).

BOP LD% BABIP ExpBABIP Residual
3 0.254 0.381 0.374 0.007
4 0.077 0.160 0.197 -0.037
5 0.179 0.185 0.299 -0.114
6 0.167 0.200 0.287 -0.087
7 1.000 1.000 1.120 -0.120
9 0.000 0.000 0.120 -0.120
Total 0.198 0.285 0.318 -0.033



Would have any idea what the average LD% is for a major leaguer?  How about for a third place hitter?  Outfielders?

Overall, this does bode well for Bradley for the rest of the year.

Across all players, average LD% is about 18.7%. I don't know where you'd go to find a split like that across all BOP for all players. Milton's average LD% for his career is 21% with a .321 BABIP. Last year, he put up 25% and .388 respectively.

PenFoe

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Re: Crazy Uncle Milton's Shot Blasting Sploogefest Emporium
« Reply #177 on: June 22, 2009, 01:45:55 PM »
Quote from: ChuckD on June 22, 2009, 01:43:43 PM
Quote from: Oleg on June 22, 2009, 01:36:39 PM
Quote from: ChuckD on June 22, 2009, 01:29:23 PM
Quote from: Oleg on June 22, 2009, 01:01:32 PM
Quote from: Shooter on June 22, 2009, 12:47:17 PM
Quote from: ChuckD on June 22, 2009, 12:44:49 PM
Maybe Milton just has a thing for the three hole.

Split          G GS PA AB R  H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO    BA   OBP   SLG   OPS TB GDP HBP SH SF IBB ROE BAbip tOPS+ sOPS+
Batting 3rd   19 19 82 74 9 25  5  1  1   7  0  0  6 10  .338  .402  .473  .875 35   3   2  0  0   0   0  .381   133   112
Batting 4th   11 11 44 33 6  5  1  0  1   3  0  0  9  7  .152  .364  .273  .636  9   1   2  0  0   0   0  .160    72    60
Batting 5th   11 11 44 39 6  7  1  0  2   4  0  0  5 10  .179  .273  .359  .632 14   2   0  0  0   1   0  .185    68    60
Batting 6th    3  2  9  9 1  2  0  0  1   2  0  0  0  3  .222  .222  .556  .778  5   0   0  0  0   0   0  .200   103    97
Batting 7th    2  0  2  1 0  1  0  0  0   0  0  0  1  0 1.000 1.000 1.000 2.000  1   0   0  0  0   0   0 1.000   434   462
Batting 9th    6  0  6  5 0  0  0  0  0   0  0  0  1  3  .000  .167  .000  .167  0   0   0  0  0   0   0  .000   -53   -39


He's hit safely in 18 of the 19 games when in the third spot.

Looks like a lot of "luck" -- his BABIP is unusually high when batting 3rd and unusually low when batting 4th and 5th.

I've learned to take BABiP with a grain of salt without having other stats, like line drive %, to go along with it.

Even when Milton was not hitting, he was still walking.  Without looking at the numbers, I would guess his walk rate and K rate held steady in regard to his career.

Seriously, why isn't he hitting 7th more often?  OK, that wasn't serious.

With a little finagling of data from FanGraphs and BBRef, it's possible to approximate his LD% splits across batting order position. This assumes that if he starts in batting order position X, every AB he takes during the game occurs in that batting position. ExpBABIP is estimated at .120 + the LD%. Residual is the difference between the BABIP and ExpBABIP--you might call it "luck." So, Milton's been slightly "lucky" in the third spot, and somewhere between "unlucky" and "really unlucky" everywhere else (although, 6, 7, and 9 are insignificant in terms of sample sizes).

BOP LD% BABIP ExpBABIP Residual
3 0.254 0.381 0.374 0.007
4 0.077 0.160 0.197 -0.037
5 0.179 0.185 0.299 -0.114
6 0.167 0.200 0.287 -0.087
7 1.000 1.000 1.120 -0.120
9 0.000 0.000 0.120 -0.120
Total 0.198 0.285 0.318 -0.033



Would have any idea what the average LD% is for a major leaguer?  How about for a third place hitter?  Outfielders?

Overall, this does bode well for Bradley for the rest of the year.

Across all players, average LD% is about 18.7%. I don't know where you'd go to find a split like that across all BOP for all players. Milton's average LD% for his career is 21% with a .321 BABIP. Last year, he put up 25% and .388 respectively.

What's the conclusion from all of this - that he's getting out of a slump? That he hasn't really been slumping?
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Internet Apex

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Re: Crazy Uncle Milton's Shot Blasting Sploogefest Emporium
« Reply #178 on: June 22, 2009, 01:48:35 PM »
Quote from: Chuck to Chuck on June 22, 2009, 01:41:47 PM
Quote from: Internet Apex on June 22, 2009, 01:37:25 PM
So far, yelling at an umpire and heaving a ball into the stands are the only things he's done that would get a little leaguer benched. Where does that rank him on the list of Criminally Baseball Stupid for 2009? He's no Michael Barrett.
The heaving the ball in the stands undersells his fuck up.  He forgot how many outs there were and decided to showboat.

As to equating him to Barrett, you have to give Bradley a chance.  Barrett had two and a half seasons under hsi belt here when Z busted him up.  Give Bradley another 300 games and then compare.

It was still just one fuckup. At the time Barrett got punched and eventually traded (in June if I recall), we had a litiny of Baseball Retarded Acts piled up on these threads. If they moved Bradley to catcher, he might eventually catch Barrett but I doubt it. He'd probably get hurt the first game. I know it upsets you terribly that the Cubs have a black dude on their team but please try to be objective.
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Oleg

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Re: Crazy Uncle Milton's Shot Blasting Sploogefest Emporium
« Reply #179 on: June 22, 2009, 01:51:16 PM »
Quote from: Chuck to Chuck on June 22, 2009, 01:41:47 PM
Quote from: Internet Apex on June 22, 2009, 01:37:25 PM
So far, yelling at an umpire and heaving a ball into the stands are the only things he's done that would get a little leaguer benched. Where does that rank him on the list of Criminally Baseball Stupid for 2009? He's no Michael Barrett.
The heaving the ball in the stands undersells his fuck up.  He forgot how many outs there were and decided to showboat.

As to equating him to Barrett, you have to give Bradley a chance.  Barrett had two and a half seasons under hsi belt here when Z busted him up.  Give Bradley another 300 games and then compare.

No, he wasn't showboating.  First of all, the mere act of throwing the ball into stands is fine, if it's the third out.  It happens all the time.  Secondly, his pose I took as being more of a relief that he caught the ball, since he lost one in the sun just before that catch.

I guess you'll just see however you want to though.

I cannot possibly defend the stupidity of losing track of the number of outs, but that happens, too.  It happened to Larry Walker, and no one accused him of being a stupid ballplayer.  So, whatever.